Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.029579 0.031836 0.034092 0.036513 0.039034 0.041580 0.044340
2025-08-24 0.024672 0.028364 0.032195 0.036449 0.041024 0.045780 0.051082
2025-08-31 0.021199 0.025745 0.030608 0.036153 0.042261 0.048748 0.056120
2025-09-07 0.018693 0.023825 0.029459 0.036029 0.043407 0.051375 0.060565
2025-09-14 0.016375 0.021872 0.028059 0.035421 0.043835 0.053056 0.063828
2025-09-21 0.014408 0.020147 0.026761 0.034783 0.044100 0.054444 0.066665
2025-09-28 0.012601 0.018465 0.025387 0.033941 0.044027 0.055363 0.068895
2025-10-05 0.011908 0.018083 0.025504 0.034801 0.045883 0.058447 0.073553
2025-10-12 0.011050 0.017426 0.025233 0.035152 0.047104 0.060771 0.077322
2025-10-19 0.010026 0.016481 0.024549 0.034951 0.047630 0.062257 0.080099
2025-10-26 0.009656 0.016368 0.024882 0.035974 0.049603 0.065425 0.084819
2025-11-02 0.008908 0.015695 0.024463 0.036035 0.050392 0.067181 0.087881
2025-11-09 0.007988 0.014780 0.023759 0.035796 0.050905 0.068727 0.090852
2025-11-16 0.007119 0.013896 0.023076 0.035586 0.051475 0.070382 0.094018
2025-11-23 0.006297 0.013011 0.022343 0.035272 0.051888 0.071831 0.096929
2025-11-30 0.005622 0.012287 0.021783 0.035146 0.052508 0.073510 0.100101
2025-12-07 0.004868 0.011368 0.020898 0.034546 0.052493 0.074389 0.102292
2025-12-14 0.004185 0.010495 0.020026 0.033918 0.052407 0.075152 0.104323
2025-12-21 0.003524 0.009582 0.019038 0.033088 0.052022 0.075518 0.105847
2025-12-28 0.003346 0.009500 0.019273 0.033936 0.053819 0.078600 0.110689
2026-01-04 0.003062 0.009198 0.019158 0.034281 0.054948 0.080843 0.114505
2026-01-11 0.002684 0.008674 0.018672 0.034083 0.055345 0.082154 0.117168
2026-01-18 0.002590 0.008696 0.019035 0.035091 0.057346 0.085496 0.122345